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I bond: October or November?

I bonds: buy in October or wait?

Waiting wins at a new fixed rate of0.97%or more

If it stays 0.90%: October wins by about $48.

Waiting wins ≥ 0.97%October: 0.90%, 30 yrs
  1. Nov 2026Your guess: 0.90%
  2. May 20260.90%, October bonds
  3. Nov 20250.90%
  4. May 20251.10%
  5. Nov 20241.20%
  6. May 20241.30%
  7. Nov 20231.30%
  8. May 20230.90%
  9. Nov 20220.40%
  10. May 20220.00%
  11. Nov 20210.00%
  • Fixed rates set
  • Your Nov 1 guess
  • Waiting wins
  • October 0.90%

Waiting comes out ahead from 0.97% (5 years hold, your amount). Your guess Assumption

From $25 to $10,000. TreasuryDirect lets each person buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds per calendar year.
Years you'll holdCashing before 5 years costs the last 3 months of interest. You can't cash in before 12 months.
Nov 1 fixed rateAssumptionUnknown until Treasury announces it. There's no formula.
Nov 1 inflation rateForecastSet by a formula from September's CPI, published Wed, Oct 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Until then, pick how September might go.
Inflation after April 2027 (same as Nov 2026)Assumption
Inflation rate for every announcement after April 2027

Used for every later 6-month rate, for both bonds. Nobody knows it yet.

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Not affiliated with the U.S. Treasury, TreasuryDirect or BLS.

Who comes out ahead

Buying by Fri, Oct 30 comes out about $48 ahead on Nov 1, 2031, unless Treasury raises the fixed rate to 0.97% or more on Nov 1.

Same $10,000, both valued on Nov 1, 2031
Oct 2026Buy by Oct 30Nov 2026Wait for November
Fixed rate for 30 years0.90%Official0.90%Assumption
First 6 months' rate4.26%OfficialOct 2026 to Mar 20274.17%ForecastNov 2026 to Apr 2027
Then4.17%ForecastNov 2026 inflation from Apr 1, 20274.17%AssumptionMay 2027 inflation from May 1, 2027
Earliest cash-inOct 1, 2027Nov 1, 2027
No-penalty dateOct 1, 2031Nov 1, 2031
Value on Nov 1, 2031$12,336.00Projection$12,288.00Projection
Difference+$48.00 for October
Final maturityOct 1, 2056Nov 1, 2056

Values before 5 years already subtract 3 months' interest, like TreasuryDirect shows.

Three dates

  1. Oct 202614

    Sept CPI out, 8:30 a.m. ET

  2. Oct 202630

    Last day for an October issue date

  3. Nov 20261

    New fixed rate announced around then

Estimate for education. Not financial advice.

How it works

Why the fixed rate decides it · the deadline · the Nov 1 rate · a $10,000 example

How to use it

Enter how much you'd put into I bonds and how long you expect to keep them. The tool compares two bonds bought with the same money: one issued in October 2026 and one issued in November 2026. It values both on the same calendar date, so the comparison is fair, and it subtracts the 3-month penalty when that date is less than 5 years in.

Two numbers aren't known yet: the new fixed rate Treasury will set for November bonds, and September's inflation. Pick what you want to assume for each. The tool then shows which bond comes out ahead, by how much, and the break-even fixed rate: the lowest new fixed rate at which waiting would pay off.

Why the fixed rate decides it

An I bond's rate has two parts. The fixed rate is set when you buy and stays the same for 30 years. The inflation rate changes every 6 months for every I bond, old and new. So the inflation part mostly washes out between an October bond and a November bond: each gets the same announcements, just one month apart.

What doesn't wash out is the fixed rate. An October bond keeps 0.90% for 30 years. A November bond gets whatever Treasury announces for November, and there is no published formula for it. If it stays at 0.90%, buying in October comes out slightly ahead because October's first 6 months earn today's 4.26%. If Treasury raises it enough, waiting wins, and the longer you hold, the less of a raise it takes.

The catch: the new fixed rate is announced around Nov 1, after the last October buying day. This tool can't tell you what Treasury will do, and it doesn't guess. It tells you the line, so you can decide how you feel about the odds.

The October deadline

Your bond's issue date is the first day of the month TreasuryDirect receives your money. Funds must arrive before midnight Eastern time. Oct 31, 2026 is a Saturday, so the last business day is Fri, Oct 30. TreasuryDirect warns that purchases at the end of the month may get the next month's issue date, so aim earlier than the last day. An October bond earns interest for all of October, even if you buy it on the 30th.

How the Nov 1 rate is set

The inflation part comes from a formula in Treasury's rules (31 CFR 359.11): the change in CPI-U, not seasonally adjusted, from March to September 2026, rounded to 0.01%. March was 330.213. The latest index, August, is 334.980, already 1.44% above March. In a typical September (the median change from 2014 to 2025), the rate would be about 1.63%, close to today's 1.67%. Past Septembers range from 1.29% (like 2015) to 1.98% (like 2017). A September index of 335.712 or more keeps it at 1.67%.

The composite rate is then fixed + 2 × inflation + fixed × inflation, rounded to 0.01%. Today's 4.26% is 0.90% fixed and 1.67% inflation. BLS publishes September's CPI on Wed, Oct 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET; after that this page shows the inflation part calculated from BLS data instead of a forecast. See every formula and the rounding rules.

Example: $10,000, fixed rate unchanged

With $10,000.00, the Nov 1 inflation part at 1.63% and the new fixed rate at 0.90%, here is each bond's value on the same date, and the fixed rate at which waiting would have caught up.

Buy by Oct 30 vs wait for November, $10,000.00
HoldBuy by Oct 30WaitWaiting wins from
1 yearNov 1, 2027$10,352.00+$40.00 ahead$10,312.001.36%
2 yearsNov 1, 2028$10,788.00+$40.00 ahead$10,748.001.08%
5 yearsNov 1, 2031$12,336.00+$48.00 ahead$12,288.000.97%
10 yearsNov 1, 2036$15,164.00+$60.00 ahead$15,104.000.93%
30 yearsOct 1, 2056$34,504.00+$140.00 ahead$34,364.000.92%

These are estimates. Every later rate uses the same inflation assumption, and the values follow TreasuryDirect's published method to the cent. Taxes aren't included: I bond interest is subject to federal income tax but not state or local income tax.

Already own an I bond? See exactly what it's worth, with the 3-month penalty, the way TreasuryDirect calculates it. To buy, use TreasuryDirect (opens in a new tab).

Updated . Rates since 1998: 57 announcements.

The chart as a table

The last 10 fixed rates, newest first
Fixed rate set for each 6-month announcement
AnnouncementFixed rate
May 20260.90%
Nov 20250.90%
May 20251.10%
Nov 20241.20%
May 20241.30%
Nov 20231.30%
May 20230.90%
Nov 20220.40%
May 20220.00%
Nov 20210.00%

Questions

The Nov 1 rate, the deadline, cashing in early, limits, taxes

What is the I bond rate right now?

4.26% (0.90% fixed + 1.67% semiannual inflation) for I bonds issued May 1 – Oct 31, 2026.

When is the November 2026 I bond rate announced?

Rates are set for Nov 1. Nov 1, 2026 is a Sunday, and Treasury's rule says a closed-day announcement moves to the next business day while rates still apply from Nov 1. Last year's came out Mon, Nov 3, 2025.

How is the November rate calculated?

Inflation part = change in CPI-U (not seasonally adjusted) from March to September 2026, rounded to 0.01%. Composite = fixed + 2×inflation + fixed×inflation, rounded to 0.01%. Sept CPI is published Oct 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

What's the last day to buy I bonds in October 2026?

The issue date is the month TreasuryDirect receives your funds (before midnight ET). Oct 31 is a Saturday, so the last business day is Fri, Oct 30, and end-of-month purchases can slip into November.

Should I wait until November to buy I bonds?

It depends on the new fixed rate, which is unknown until it's announced. With the fixed rate unchanged at 0.90%, buying in October comes out slightly ahead; waiting wins only above the break-even shown in the tool (about 0.97% for a 5-year hold of $10,000).

Can I cash in an I bond early?

Not before 12 months. Before 5 years you lose the last 3 months of interest.

How much can I buy?

$10,000 in electronic I bonds per person per calendar year in TreasuryDirect, plus gifts that count toward the recipient's limit. Paper I bonds ended Jan 1, 2025.

Are I bonds taxed?

Federal income tax yes, state and local no. You can report yearly or when you cash in.

Sources

TreasuryDirect, 31 CFR 359 and BLS · checked Oct 10, 2026

Every number comes from TreasuryDirect, the Code of Federal Regulations or BLS. How we calculate.

  1. TreasuryDirect: I bonds (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  2. TreasuryDirect: I bonds interest rates (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  3. TreasuryDirect: I bond rate chart (PDF) (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  4. Primary source
  5. Primary source
  6. Primary source
  7. TreasuryDirect: Buy a savings bond (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  8. Primary source
  9. TreasuryDirect: Cash in a savings bond (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  10. Primary source
  11. TreasuryDirect: Savings Bond Calculator (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
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